Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 92508.091241 97545.917893 102579.728912 107983.516372 113616.781786 119312.653118 125503.627066
2025-07-13 85112.128190 92883.963263 100862.283240 109654.214589 119060.095132 128810.381150 139670.952514
2025-07-20 79795.097677 89482.349009 99640.721310 111065.629105 123534.831347 136708.485776 151656.188006
2025-07-27 75348.591311 86457.342480 98316.222369 111882.002310 126933.793057 143085.194209 161689.152742
2025-08-03 71277.950861 83465.893258 96683.393846 112029.785401 129302.958497 148088.598480 170007.604536
2025-08-10 67976.394695 81073.168229 95478.820151 112428.291432 131749.960567 153013.885037 178106.801378
2025-08-17 64914.419041 78750.577323 94170.172882 112535.519130 133716.075833 157278.241379 185369.352606
2025-08-24 62898.126248 77497.580078 93962.594159 113790.633578 136898.353281 162853.308400 194080.523551
2025-08-31 60300.257058 75429.361622 92690.270743 113699.821290 138432.091920 166469.533051 200497.054782
2025-09-07 58823.636324 74602.560847 92794.900437 115152.696148 141711.336152 172069.264027 209200.141316
2025-09-14 57208.945317 73528.512702 92535.945914 116112.984679 144363.595377 176911.215538 217015.031261
2025-09-21 55274.742943 71984.533910 91641.908279 116247.915263 145982.088513 180502.972081 223343.681400
2025-09-28 53362.614372 70418.764977 90685.217568 116284.558605 147480.026353 183973.437484 229582.615840
2025-10-05 52441.848416 70041.392347 91144.291235 118019.584684 151018.783175 189886.327487 238770.367580
2025-10-12 51464.243449 69548.456685 91425.289959 119508.860168 154245.132564 195428.538733 247540.716617
2025-10-19 50246.483745 68703.359710 91228.484223 120373.283572 156683.880594 200013.372770 255168.954768
2025-10-26 48763.563815 67467.285795 90496.474411 120529.655980 158217.976373 203481.873435 261441.381877
2025-11-02 47487.504071 66453.418105 90004.918080 120952.487112 160056.717361 207309.741125 268156.771499
2025-11-09 46139.037347 65300.867131 89297.314911 121066.261590 161481.766383 210614.158150 274230.072503
2025-11-16 45402.196115 64924.310153 89560.425530 122398.204848 164430.619522 215806.713313 282657.546265
2025-11-23 44081.081877 63732.358459 88734.964167 122301.837411 165547.205872 218709.230375 288244.750092
2025-11-30 43520.502800 63536.604069 89187.608468 123843.465142 168746.505954 224223.186117 297116.318545
2025-12-07 42769.106117 63058.335169 89249.752332 124862.298657 171269.806570 228893.915036 304953.646449